AMS - UK Market developments 2009

[XYZ]

Herewith an overview of the AMS <-> UK passenger market in 2009.

The year 2009 has been a disastrous year for Schiphol's most important market the United Kingdom. Historically the UK is the largest passenger market for AMS and the economic crisis has hit demand for air travel very hard.

Total Market - AMS-UK-AMS:
- 2009 = 6.544.135 -9,6%
- 2008 = 7.232.400 -7,3%
- 2007 = 7.801.718 + 1%

Markets by Size:

AMS - UK Market Size 2006 2007 2008 2009
1 LHR 1.847.034 1.799.361 1.709.368 1.510.045 = a loss of 337.000 pax in 3 years
2 LGW 637.363 670.475 594.936 542.681
3 MAN 607.497 560.891 462.930 470.252
4 EDI 456.796 502.459 465.621 452.190
5 BHX 486.383 473.118 492.293 411.761
6 LCY 218.128 262.311 324.797 345.906
7 LPL 293.572 293.049 255.775 289.014
8 GLA 285.673 291.289 314.695 274.546
9 STN 259.046 257.852 265.190 258.844
10 ABZ 276.839 279.881 289.451 254.067
11 NCL 341.779 333.914 289.930 252.519
12 BRS 270.969 283.085 244.092 230.341
13 LBS 294.269 279.027 258.246 228.062
14 LTN 355.088 315.407 262.074 219.199
15 CWL 218.611 225.444 193.682 135.315
16 HUY 132.744 137.182 141.097 121.047
17 NWI 135.480 155.368 139.699 120.731
18 EMA 127.057 132.549 128.693 106.910
19 MME 121.527 123.679 117.793 104.491
20 SOU 58.497 93.936 102.730 91.098
21 BFS 89.376 95.085 138.799 91.031
22 EXE 5.629 37.490 40.459 34.085


Stations ranked by growth/decline in passenger market:

- LPL +13% due to arrival KLM on route
- LCY +6,5% due to CityJet/VLM/KLM/BA
- MAN +1,5% due arrival BMIbaby on route
- STN -2,4%
- EDI -2,9%
- BRS -5,6%
- LGW -8,8%
- MME -11,3%
- SOU -11,3%
- LHR -11,7% it is not suprising BMI is pulling out
- LBS -11,7%
- ABZ -12,2%
- GLA -12,8%
- NCL -12,9%
- NWI -13,6%
- HUY -14,2%
- EXE -15,8%
- BHX -16,4%
- LTN -16,4%
- EMA -16,9%
- CWL - 30,1% result of BMIbaby pull out
- BFS -34,4% result of Aer Lingus pull out

[Boudewijn van Oirschot]

Very nice overview. Thanks!

Firstly I thought the UK market must have grown last year as Cityjet and Flybe (?) increased their frequences and routes from Schiphol. But... I forgot both airlines only operate small aircrafts

[Optimus]

Thumbs up for the overview.

In my opinion the significant drop in the value of the Pound Sterling (opposed to the Euro) is also a major contributing factor to these results.

Cheers,

Kees

[Basman]

I would say that, apart from the pound sterling rate, another very important factor is called 'Ryanair'.....I wonder how the UK-Weeze and UK-Eindhoven numbers look like.

Bas

[SPL]

Ryanair will certainly be a important factor, but how long are the allready flying from that airports?
It's not that the recently started new routes.


Groeten Martijn

[Basman]

Ryanair will certainly be a important factor, but how long are the allready flying from that airports?
It's not that the recently started new routes.

True, but the drop in passengernumbers of Schiphol is not new either, already in 2008 they went down a lot. But as you say, Ryanair is an important factor but not the only one. If I look at my personal situation, I travel abroad for my work every now and then but for me, living in Arnhem and working in Aalten (Achterhoek), Düsseldorf-International is my first choice airport, mainly because of the traffic congestion around Schiphol. Of course, that reason is not specific for UK-flights but still it counts.

Bas

[XYZ]

As this is the AMS Forum, herewith the UK-Eindhoven & UK-Rotterdam passenger markets in 2009 just for reference:

Aer Lingus - LGW-EIN-LGW 2009 - pax/month and pax/flight:
- jan-09 0,0
- feb-09 0,0
- mrt-09 0,0
- apr-09 0,0
- mei-09 0,0
- jun-09 0,0
- jul-09 0,0
- aug-09 0,0
- sep-09 0,0
- okt-09 0,0
5.146 nov-09 85,8
5.083 dec-09 94,1
10.229 YEAR 2009 89,9

VLM on LCY-EIN-LCY in 2009 - pax/month and pax/flight:
1.263 jan-09 15,8
1.494 feb-09 18,7
1.863 mrt-09 23,3
1.574 apr-09 19,7
1.602 mei-09 20,0
1.834 jun-09 22,9
1.696 jul-09 21,2
1.201 aug-09 15,0
2.043 sep-09 25,5
2.199 okt-09 27,5
2.125 nov-09 26,6
2.013 dec-09 25,2
20.907 YEAR 2009 21,8
18.630 YEAR 2008 19,4

RYANAIR on STN-EIN-STN in 2009, pax/month and pax/flight:
12.369 jan-09 128,8
13.493 feb-09 140,6
14.548 mrt-09 151,5
15.396 apr-09 160,4
15.273 mei-09 159,1
15.502 jun-09 161,5
16.885 jul-09 175,9
16.532 aug-09 172,2
14.779 sep-09 153,9
16.158 okt-09 168,3
15.600 nov-09 162,5
15.127 dec-09 157,6
181.662 YEAR 2009 157,7
181.759 YEAR 2008 157,8

Just for info Ryanair carried 220.132 pax on STN-NRN-STN in 2008.

VLM/CityJet on LCY-RTM-LCY in 2009, pax/month and pax/flight:
8.484 jan-09 24,7
8.984 feb-09 26,1
9.206 mrt-09 26,8
8.792 apr-09 25,6
6.987 mei-09 20,3
9.590 jun-09 27,9
8.836 jul-09 25,7
5.892 aug-09 18,4
9.734 sep-09 28,3
10.388 okt-09 30,2
11.153 nov-09 32,4
8.945 dec-09 26,0
106.991 YEAR 2009 26,0

VLM on MAN-RTM-MAN in 2009, pax/month and pax/flight:
922 jan-09 12,8
933 feb-09 13,0
1.296 mrt-09 18,0
2.590 apr-09 36,0
2.353 mei-09 32,7
1.279 jun-09 17,8
1.103 jul-09 15,3
908 aug-09 12,6
1.328 sep-09 18,4
1.188 okt-09 16,5
1.181 nov-09 16,4
787 dec-09 10,9
15.868 YEAR 2009 18,4
17,375 YEAR 2008

TRANSAVIA on LGW-RTM-LGW in 2009, pax/month and pax/flight:
- jan-09
- feb-09
- mrt-09
- apr-09
- mei-09
- jun-09
- jul-09
- aug-09
- sep-09
- okt-09
4.460 nov-09 46,5
6.809 dec-09 77,4
11.269 YEAR 2009 58,7

[Dutchbird-757]

Very interesting topic! Is it possible to get a comparison between VLM/Cityjet/Air France/KLM or (whatever they are called now) and BA
on the AMS-LCY-AMS route?

[Basman]

It sure is interesting. I would also be interested in the numbers of FlyBe and Jet2. Had a Jet2 flight to Leeds recently which wasn't even half full. FlyBe flights are widely used by our clients and my colleagues, especially from/to Düsseldorf.

Bas

[XYZ]

After many months of negative passenger growth on AMS's main market - the United Kingdom, February 2010 has finally seen growth return over the same month of the previous year = February 2009:

- LTN-AMS-LTN = +70%
- LPL-AMS-LPL = +35%
- LCY-AMS-LCY = +34%

- BFS-AMS-BFS = -24%
- CWL-AMS-CWL = -15%
- LHR-AMS-LHR = -11%

- All routes UK-AMS-UK February 2010 = +2%